Draft retrospective

Every steal.
Every reach.

Grades use league-scored production above positional replacement, compared with the historical expectation for each exact draft slot.

2021 report card

Draft grades

148 of 150 picks produced NFL statistics

Pick by pick

The draft board

PickPlayerTeamPtsPos rankGradeValue
1
Christian McCaffreyRB · Round 1
WyattSupremacy108.0037F-93.00
2
Derrick HenryRB · Round 1
Gunnar818185.3012C+-8.55
3
Dalvin CookRB · Round 1
BDBOSS768177.6015C+-16.40
4
Alvin KamaraRB · Round 1
WhiteSean194.0011B-0.15
5
Travis KelceTE · Round 1
bdurkindo204.402B-6.30
6
Aaron JonesRB · Round 1
Team KICKER201.009B-3.50
7
Davante AdamsWR · Round 1
E-cup Hunter274.302A57.60
8
Jonathan TaylorRB · Round 1
GoodMojoe338.101A+139.20
9
Tyreek HillWR · Round 1
mattmoneymils238.306B17.40
10
Ezekiel ElliottRB · Round 1
Wayne Kerr218.066B19.16
11
DeAndre HopkinsWR · Round 2
Wayne Kerr126.2037D-87.40
12
Josh AllenQB · Round 2
mattmoneymils453.721A62.98
13
Austin EkelerRB · Round 2
GoodMojoe278.402A+84.40
14
Saquon BarkleyRB · Round 2
E-cup Hunter119.7034D-74.30
15
Patrick MahomesQB · Round 2
Team KICKER409.464B18.72
16
Antonio GibsonRB · Round 2
bdurkindo180.5014C+-4.10
17
Nick ChubbRB · Round 2
WhiteSean196.8010B14.04
18
Najee HarrisRB · Round 2
BDBOSS768256.204A75.00
19
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB · Round 2
Gunnar818106.1040D-67.40
20
DK MetcalfWR · Round 2
WyattSupremacy197.5010B-4.90
21
Calvin RidleyWR · Round 3
WyattSupremacy55.6098F-133.20
22
Darren WallerTE · Round 3
Gunnar818102.8018C--60.40
23
Stefon DiggsWR · Round 3
BDBOSS768214.407B+29.40
24
George KittleTE · Round 3
WhiteSean157.003C+0.00
25
Joe MixonRB · Round 3
bdurkindo264.903A+109.70
26
A.J. BrownWR · Round 3
Team KICKER134.6034C--39.70
27
James RobinsonRB · Round 3
E-cup Hunter154.4023B-1.70
28
Robert WoodsWR · Round 3
GoodMojoe114.7045C--56.40
29
David MontgomeryRB · Round 3
mattmoneymils165.1019B17.84
30
Josh JacobsRB · Round 3
Wayne Kerr175.6016B+28.34
31
Justin JeffersonWR · Round 4
Wayne Kerr255.805A+88.20
32
Kyle PittsTE · Round 4
mattmoneymils140.805C+-6.40
33
Lamar JacksonQB · Round 4
GoodMojoe278.9815D-73.76
34
Russell WilsonQB · Round 4
E-cup Hunter262.8017D-85.94
35
Leonard FournetteRB · Round 4
Team KICKER220.105A+76.40
36
Terry McLaurinWR · Round 4
bdurkindo163.7025C+0.00
37
Allen RobinsonWR · Round 4
WhiteSean62.8089F-100.90
38
Chris CarsonRB · Round 4
BDBOSS76844.1075F-99.10
39
CeeDee LambWR · Round 4
Gunnar818187.8013B+24.70
40
Kyler MurrayQB · Round 4
WyattSupremacy326.3811C-21.86
41
Keenan AllenWR · Round 5
WyattSupremacy195.6011B+32.00
42
Tom BradyQB · Round 5
Gunnar818437.702A+88.96
43
Amari CooperWR · Round 5
BDBOSS768157.1028C+-5.60
44
Julio JonesWR · Round 5
WhiteSean50.60105F-112.50
45
Dak PrescottQB · Round 5
bdurkindo348.768C+-0.08
46
Mark AndrewsTE · Round 5
Team KICKER234.101A+93.20
47
T.J. HockensonTE · Round 5
E-cup Hunter114.8014C-25.00
48
Chase ClaypoolWR · Round 5
GoodMojoe121.6041C--41.00
49
Chris GodwinWR · Round 5
mattmoneymils191.4012B+29.90
50
Aaron RodgersQB · Round 5
Wayne Kerr389.587A-42.94
51
Mike EvansWR · Round 6
Wayne Kerr201.609A-40.80
52
D'Andre SwiftRB · Round 6
mattmoneymils163.3020B+26.10
53
Dallas GoedertTE · Round 6
GoodMojoe136.006B-5.50
54
Cooper KuppWR · Round 6
E-cup Hunter343.901A+190.60
55
Adam ThielenWR · Round 6
Team KICKER165.3023B6.90
56
D.J. MooreWR · Round 6
bdurkindo176.5020B23.20
57
Tyler LockettWR · Round 6
WhiteSean180.4019B+30.12
58
Diontae JohnsonWR · Round 6
BDBOSS768210.308A61.70
59
Sterling ShepardWR · Round 6
Gunnar81859.7091D-89.40
60
Miles SandersRB · Round 6
WyattSupremacy103.2041C-25.50
61
Brandon AiyukWR · Round 7
WyattSupremacy126.6036C-20.60
62
Pittsburgh SteelersDEF · Round 7
Gunnar818419.507B10.00
63
Darrell HendersonRB · Round 7
BDBOSS768148.9024B+30.80
64
Chase EdmondsRB · Round 7
WhiteSean120.8032B-2.70
65
Myles GaskinRB · Round 7
bdurkindo144.6027B+26.50
66
Raheem MostertRB · Round 7
Team KICKER2.00136F-115.90
67
Tee HigginsWR · Round 7
E-cup Hunter181.1017A-43.30
68
Michael ThomasWR · Round 7
GoodMojoe0.00F-138.00
69
Tampa Bay BuccaneersDEF · Round 7
mattmoneymils447.503A-42.30
70
Los Angeles RamsDEF · Round 7
Wayne Kerr409.5013B-4.30
71
Noah FantTE · Round 8
Wayne Kerr122.9012B-6.30
72
Jerry JeudyWR · Round 8
mattmoneymils61.0090D-78.40
73
Kareem HuntRB · Round 8
GoodMojoe99.0044C-18.90
74
Mike DavisRB · Round 8
E-cup Hunter113.9035C+-3.48
75
Washington Football TeamDEF · Round 8
Team KICKER370.5027C-24.70
76
Gus EdwardsRB · Round 8
bdurkindo0.00F-107.40
77
Justin HerbertQB · Round 8
WhiteSean436.343A+122.40
78
Kenny GolladayWR · Round 8
BDBOSS76866.9082D-61.90
79
Sammy WatkinsWR · Round 8
Gunnar81855.9096D-72.90
80
Javonte WilliamsRB · Round 8
WyattSupremacy174.0017A65.10
81
Rob GronkowskiTE · Round 9
WyattSupremacy126.5010B21.30
82
Cleveland BrownsDEF · Round 9
Gunnar818383.5024C+-11.00
83
Damien HarrisRB · Round 9
BDBOSS768183.8013A76.40
84
Melvin GordonRB · Round 9
WhiteSean163.0021A-54.70
85
Odell BeckhamWR · Round 9
bdurkindo104.3049C-23.90
86
JuJu Smith-SchusterWR · Round 9
Team KICKER27.30134F-99.60
87
Baltimore RavensDEF · Round 9
E-cup Hunter358.0029C-27.10
88
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · Round 9
GoodMojoe258.504A+140.60
89
Ronald JonesRB · Round 9
mattmoneymils72.2059C-24.20
90
Courtland SuttonWR · Round 9
Wayne Kerr118.8042B-2.50
91
Robby AndersonWR · Round 10
Wayne Kerr97.5054C+-18.80
92
Deebo SamuelWR · Round 10
mattmoneymils269.503A+153.20
93
Trey SermonRB · Round 10
GoodMojoe26.8091D-68.86
94
DeVonta SmithWR · Round 10
E-cup Hunter147.0031B+31.60
95
Robert TonyanTE · Round 10
Team KICKER41.4045C--48.80
96
Buffalo BillsDEF · Round 10
bdurkindo412.0012B+29.24
97
Antonio BrownWR · Round 10
WhiteSean100.1052C+-15.46
98
Brandin CooksWR · Round 10
BDBOSS768182.7016A72.40
99
Kenyan DrakeRB · Round 10
Gunnar81886.5052C+-6.60
100
Miami DolphinsDEF · Round 10
WyattSupremacy406.5015B+26.30
101
D.J. CharkWR · Round 11
WyattSupremacy30.90131D-82.10
102
Jared CookTE · Round 11
Gunnar81898.4019B6.50
103
Corey DavisWR · Round 11
BDBOSS76886.2062C-29.36
104
San Francisco 49ersDEF · Round 11
WhiteSean417.509A-35.60
105
Elijah MooreWR · Round 11
bdurkindo116.7044B-2.00
106
Ryan TannehillQB · Round 11
Team KICKER279.0814C-20.76
107
Devin SingletaryRB · Round 11
E-cup Hunter148.6025A55.50
108
Logan ThomasTE · Round 11
GoodMojoe43.6042C--48.30
109
Hunter HenryTE · Round 11
mattmoneymils128.209A-36.60
110
Michael CarterRB · Round 11
Wayne Kerr133.5029A-38.70
111
James ConnerRB · Round 12
Wayne Kerr212.907A+118.10
112
Mac JonesQB · Round 12
mattmoneymils262.1018C--40.84
113
Tyler HigbeeTE · Round 12
GoodMojoe95.0020B-1.10
114
Matthew StaffordQB · Round 12
E-cup Hunter398.225A+96.38
115
Jarvis LandryWR · Round 12
Team KICKER87.5060C--30.30
116
Jalen HurtsQB · Round 12
bdurkindo344.169A-44.62
117
Laviska ShenaultWR · Round 12
WhiteSean85.8063C-28.90
118
Will FullerWR · Round 12
BDBOSS7686.60181F-103.70
119
Tyler BoydWR · Round 12
Gunnar818149.3429B+31.54
120
Jaylen WaddleWR · Round 12
WyattSupremacy180.6018A65.42
121
A.J. DillonRB · Round 13
WyattSupremacy159.4022A64.90
122
Randall CobbWR · Round 13
Gunnar81878.6069C--35.80
123
Mike GesickiTE · Round 13
BDBOSS768125.3011A-38.90
124
Michael PittmanWR · Round 13
WhiteSean176.2021A67.00
125
Mike WilliamsWR · Round 13
bdurkindo186.2015A+77.00
126
Curtis SamuelWR · Round 13
Team KICKER6.80180F-99.10
127
Jonnu SmithTE · Round 13
E-cup Hunter51.9034C--31.20
128
Trevor LawrenceQB · Round 13
GoodMojoe208.4225D-83.42
129
Jakobi MeyersWR · Round 13
mattmoneymils137.8033B+32.30
130
Trenton IrwinWR · Round 13
Wayne Kerr3.00201F-102.90
131
Baker MayfieldQB · Round 14
Wayne Kerr221.9023D-68.74
132
Justin FieldsQB · Round 14
mattmoneymils138.8032F-144.94
133
Zack MossRB · Round 14
GoodMojoe89.3049B10.60
134
New England PatriotsDEF · Round 14
E-cup Hunter429.005A63.20
135
Michael GallupWR · Round 14
Team KICKER74.0074C-29.00
136
Sony MichelRB · Round 14
bdurkindo129.4030A-43.40
137
Marvin JonesWR · Round 14
WhiteSean125.4039B19.90
138
Kirk CousinsQB · Round 14
BDBOSS768334.4410A-42.60
139
Matt RyanQB · Round 14
Gunnar818251.0820C--40.76
140
Cole KmetTE · Round 14
WyattSupremacy84.4023B-1.70
141
Marquise BrownWR · Round 15
WyattSupremacy173.6022A67.30
142
Terrace MarshallWR · Round 15
Gunnar81824.30140D-82.40
143
Indianapolis ColtsDEF · Round 15
BDBOSS768433.004A60.10
144
Adam TrautmanTE · Round 15
WhiteSean40.5048C--42.60
145
Mecole HardmanWR · Round 15
bdurkindo93.1057C+-12.35
146
Denver BroncosDEF · Round 15
Team KICKER388.0021B15.30
147
Phillip LindsayRB · Round 15
E-cup Hunter39.4078C--46.15
148
Minnesota VikingsDEF · Round 15
GoodMojoe413.5011A-40.90
149
David JohnsonRB · Round 15
mattmoneymils59.2065C-26.35
150
Jamaal WilliamsRB · Round 15
Wayne Kerr100.1043B12.80

With hindsight

How it should have gone

1Jonathan TaylorRB · originally 8338.10
2Cooper KuppWR · originally 54343.90
3Austin EkelerRB · originally 13278.40
4Joe MixonRB · originally 25264.90
5Najee HarrisRB · originally 18256.20
6Davante AdamsWR · originally 7274.30
7Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · originally 92269.50
8Josh AllenQB · originally 12453.72
9Ja'Marr ChaseWR · originally 88258.50
10Mark AndrewsTE · originally 46234.10
11Justin JeffersonWR · originally 31255.80
12Tom BradyQB · originally 42437.70
13Justin HerbertQB · originally 77436.34
14Leonard FournetteRB · originally 35220.10
15Tyreek HillWR · originally 9238.30
16Ezekiel ElliottRB · originally 10218.06
17James ConnerRB · originally 111212.90
18Travis KelceTE · originally 5204.40
19Cordarrelle PattersonRB · undrafted204.90
20Patrick MahomesQB · originally 15409.46